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The¡¡victorious¡¡government¡¡understood¡¡moreover¡¡the¡¡necessity¡¡of
satisfying¡¡the¡¡legitimate¡¡claims¡¡of¡¡the¡¡enlightened¡¡portion¡¡of
the¡¡nation¡£¡¡¡¡It¡¡created¡¡a¡¡parliament¡¡instructed¡¡to¡¡prepare¡¡laws
and¡¡control¡¡expenditure¡£
The¡¡history¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Russian¡¡Revolution¡¡shows¡¡us¡¡how¡¡a¡¡government£»
all¡¡of¡¡whose¡¡natural¡¡supports¡¡have¡¡crumbled¡¡in¡¡succession£»¡¡can£»
with¡¡wisdom¡¡and¡¡firmness£»¡¡triumph¡¡over¡¡the¡¡most¡¡formidable
obstacles¡£¡¡¡¡It¡¡has¡¡been¡¡very¡¡justly¡¡said¡¡that¡¡governments¡¡are¡¡not
overthrown£»¡¡but¡¡that¡¡they¡¡commit¡¡suicide¡£
3¡£¡¡¡¡Revolutions¡¡effected¡¡by¡¡Governments¡£Examples£º¡¡¡¡
China£»¡¡Turkey£»¡¡&c¡£
Governments¡¡almost¡¡invariably¡¡fight¡¡revolutions£»¡¡they¡¡hardly¡¡ever
create¡¡them¡£¡¡¡¡Representing¡¡the¡¡needs¡¡of¡¡the¡¡moment¡¡and¡¡general
opinion£»¡¡they¡¡follow¡¡the¡¡reformers¡¡timidly£»¡¡they¡¡do¡¡not¡¡precede
them¡£¡¡¡¡Sometimes£»¡¡however£»¡¡certain¡¡governments¡¡have¡¡attempted
those¡¡sudden¡¡reforms¡¡which¡¡we¡¡know¡¡as¡¡revolutions¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡stability
or¡¡instability¡¡of¡¡the¡¡national¡¡mind¡¡decrees¡¡the¡¡success¡¡or
failure¡¡of¡¡such¡¡attempts¡£
They¡¡succeed¡¡when¡¡the¡¡people¡¡on¡¡whom¡¡the¡¡government¡¡seeks¡¡to
impose¡¡new¡¡institutions¡¡is¡¡composed¡¡of¡¡semi¡barbarous¡¡tribes£»
without¡¡fixed¡¡laws£»¡¡without¡¡solid¡¡traditions£»¡¡that¡¡is¡¡to¡¡say£»
without¡¡a¡¡settled¡¡national¡¡mind¡£¡¡¡¡Such¡¡was¡¡the¡¡condition¡¡of
Russia¡¡in¡¡the¡¡days¡¡of¡¡Peter¡¡the¡¡Great¡£¡¡¡¡We¡¡know¡¡how¡¡he¡¡sought¡¡to
Europeanise¡¡the¡¡semi¡Asiatic¡¡populations¡¡by¡¡means¡¡of¡¡force¡£
Japan¡¡is¡¡another¡¡example¡¡of¡¡a¡¡revolution¡¡effected¡¡by¡¡a
government£»¡¡but¡¡it¡¡was¡¡her¡¡machinery£»¡¡not¡¡her¡¡mind¡¡that¡¡was
reformed¡£
It¡¡needs¡¡a¡¡very¡¡powerful¡¡autocrat£»¡¡seconded¡¡by¡¡a¡¡man¡¡of¡¡genius£»
to¡¡succeed£»¡¡even¡¡partially£»¡¡in¡¡such¡¡a¡¡task¡£¡¡¡¡More¡¡often¡¡than¡¡not
the¡¡reformer¡¡finds¡¡that¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡people¡¡rises¡¡up¡¡against¡¡him¡£¡¡
Then£»¡¡to¡¡the¡¡contrary¡¡of¡¡what¡¡befalls¡¡in¡¡an¡¡ordinary¡¡revolution£»
the¡¡autocrat¡¡is¡¡revolutionary¡¡and¡¡the¡¡people¡¡is¡¡conservative¡£¡¡
But¡¡an¡¡attentive¡¡study¡¡will¡¡soon¡¡show¡¡you¡¡that¡¡the¡¡peoples¡¡are
always¡¡extremely¡¡conservative¡£
Failure¡¡is¡¡the¡¡rule¡¡with¡¡these¡¡attempts¡£¡¡¡¡Whether¡¡effected¡¡by¡¡the
upper¡¡classes¡¡or¡¡the¡¡lower£»¡¡revolutions¡¡do¡¡not¡¡change¡¡the¡¡souls
of¡¡peoples¡¡that¡¡have¡¡been¡¡a¡¡long¡¡time¡¡established¡£¡¡¡¡They¡¡only
change¡¡those¡¡things¡¡that¡¡are¡¡worn¡¡by¡¡time¡¡and¡¡ready¡¡to¡¡fall¡£
China¡¡is¡¡at¡¡the¡¡present¡¡time¡¡making¡¡a¡¡very¡¡interesting¡¡but
impossible¡¡experiment£»¡¡in¡¡seeking£»¡¡by¡¡means¡¡of¡¡the¡¡government£»
suddenly¡¡to¡¡renew¡¡the¡¡institutions¡¡of¡¡the¡¡country¡£¡¡¡¡The
revolution¡¡which¡¡overturned¡¡the¡¡dynasty¡¡of¡¡her¡¡ancient¡¡sovereigns
was¡¡the¡¡indirect¡¡consequence¡¡of¡¡the¡¡discontent¡¡provoked¡¡by
reforms¡¡which¡¡the¡¡government¡¡had¡¡sought¡¡to¡¡impose¡¡with¡¡a¡¡view¡¡to
ameliorating¡¡the¡¡condition¡¡of¡¡China¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡suppression¡¡of¡¡opium
and¡¡gaming£»¡¡the¡¡reform¡¡of¡¡the¡¡army£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡creation¡¡of¡¡schools£»
involved¡¡an¡¡increase¡¡of¡¡taxation¡¡which£»¡¡as¡¡well¡¡as¡¡the¡¡reforms
themselves£»¡¡greatly¡¡indisposed¡¡the¡¡general¡¡opinion¡£
A¡¡few¡¡cultured¡¡Chinese¡¡educated¡¡in¡¡the¡¡schools¡¡of¡¡Europe¡¡profited
by¡¡this¡¡discontent¡¡to¡¡raise¡¡the¡¡people¡¡and¡¡proclaim¡¡a¡¡republic£»
an¡¡institution¡¡of¡¡which¡¡the¡¡Chinese¡¡could¡¡have¡¡had¡¡no¡¡conception¡£
It¡¡surely¡¡cannot¡¡long¡¡survive£»¡¡for¡¡the¡¡impulse¡¡which¡¡has¡¡given
birth¡¡to¡¡it¡¡is¡¡not¡¡a¡¡movement¡¡of¡¡progress£»¡¡but¡¡of¡¡reaction¡£¡¡¡¡The
word¡¡republic£»¡¡to¡¡the¡¡Chinaman¡¡intellectualised¡¡by¡¡his¡¡European
education£»¡¡is¡¡simply¡¡synonymous¡¡with¡¡the¡¡rejection¡¡of¡¡the¡¡yoke¡¡of
laws£»¡¡rules£»¡¡and¡¡long¡established¡¡restraints¡£¡¡¡¡Cutting¡¡off¡¡his
pigtail£»¡¡covering¡¡his¡¡head¡¡with¡¡a¡¡cap£»¡¡and¡¡calling¡¡himself¡¡a
Republican£»¡¡the¡¡young¡¡Chinaman¡¡thinks¡¡to¡¡give¡¡the¡¡rein¡¡to¡¡all¡¡his
instincts¡£¡¡¡¡This¡¡is¡¡more¡¡or¡¡less¡¡the¡¡idea¡¡of¡¡a¡¡republic¡¡that¡¡a
large¡¡part¡¡of¡¡the¡¡French¡¡people¡¡entertained¡¡at¡¡the¡¡time¡¡of¡¡the
great¡¡Revolution¡£
China¡¡will¡¡soon¡¡discover¡¡the¡¡fate¡¡that¡¡awaits¡¡a¡¡society¡¡deprived
of¡¡the¡¡armour¡¡slowly¡¡wrought¡¡by¡¡the¡¡past¡£¡¡¡¡After¡¡a¡¡few¡¡years¡¡of
bloody¡¡anarchy¡¡it¡¡will¡¡be¡¡necessary¡¡to¡¡establish¡¡a¡¡power¡¡whose
tyranny¡¡will¡¡inevitably¡¡be¡¡far¡¡severer¡¡than¡¡that¡¡which¡¡was
overthrown¡£¡¡¡¡Science¡¡has¡¡not¡¡yet¡¡discovered¡¡the¡¡magic¡¡ring
capable¡¡of¡¡saving¡¡a¡¡society¡¡without¡¡discipline¡£¡¡¡¡There¡¡is¡¡no¡¡need
to¡¡impose¡¡discipline¡¡when¡¡it¡¡has¡¡become¡¡hereditary£»¡¡but¡¡when¡¡the
primitive¡¡instincts¡¡have¡¡been¡¡allowed¡¡to¡¡destroy¡¡the¡¡barriers
painfully¡¡erected¡¡by¡¡slow¡¡ancestral¡¡labours£»¡¡they¡¡cannot¡¡be
reconstituted¡¡save¡¡by¡¡an¡¡energetic¡¡tyranny¡£
As¡¡a¡¡proof¡¡of¡¡these¡¡assertions¡¡we¡¡may¡¡instance¡¡an¡¡experiment
analogous¡¡to¡¡that¡¡undertaken¡¡by¡¡China£»¡¡that¡¡recently¡¡attempted¡¡by
Turkey¡£¡¡¡¡A¡¡few¡¡years¡¡ago¡¡young¡¡men¡¡instructed¡¡in¡¡European¡¡schools
and¡¡full¡¡of¡¡good¡¡intentions¡¡succeeded£»¡¡with¡¡the¡¡aid¡¡of¡¡a
number¡¡of¡¡officers£»¡¡in¡¡overthrowing¡¡a¡¡Sultan¡¡whose¡¡tyranny¡¡seemed
insupportable¡£¡¡¡¡Having¡¡acquired¡¡our¡¡robust¡¡Latin¡¡faith¡¡in¡¡the
magic¡¡power¡¡of¡¡formulae£»¡¡they¡¡thought¡¡they¡¡could¡¡establish¡¡the
representative¡¡system¡¡in¡¡a¡¡country¡¡half¡civilised£»¡¡profoundly
divided¡¡by¡¡religious¡¡hatred£»¡¡and¡¡peopled¡¡by¡¡divers¡¡races¡£
The¡¡attempt¡¡has¡¡not¡¡prospered¡¡hitherto¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡authors¡¡of¡¡the
reformation¡¡had¡¡to¡¡learn¡¡that¡¡despite¡¡their¡¡liberalism¡¡they¡¡were
forced¡¡to¡¡govern¡¡by¡¡methods¡¡very¡¡like¡¡those¡¡employed¡¡by¡¡the
government¡¡overthrown¡£¡¡¡¡They¡¡could¡¡neither¡¡prevent¡¡summary
executions¡¡nor¡¡wholesale¡¡massacres¡¡of¡¡Christians£»¡¡nor¡¡could¡¡they
remedy¡¡a¡¡single¡¡abuse¡£
It¡¡would¡¡be¡¡unjust¡¡to¡¡reproach¡¡them¡£¡¡¡¡What¡¡in¡¡truth¡¡could¡¡they
have¡¡done¡¡to¡¡change¡¡a¡¡people¡¡whose¡¡traditions¡¡have¡¡been¡¡fixed¡¡so
long£»¡¡whose¡¡religious¡¡passions¡¡are¡¡so¡¡intense£»¡¡and¡¡whose
Mohammedans£»¡¡although¡¡in¡¡the¡¡minority£»¡¡legitimately¡¡claim¡¡to
govern¡¡the¡¡sacred¡¡city¡¡of¡¡their¡¡faith¡¡according¡¡to¡¡their¡¡code£¿¡¡
How¡¡prevent¡¡Islam¡¡from¡¡remaining¡¡the¡¡State¡¡religion¡¡in¡¡a¡¡country
where¡¡civil¡¡law¡¡and¡¡religious¡¡law¡¡are¡¡not¡¡yet¡¡plainly¡¡separated£»
and¡¡where¡¡faith¡¡in¡¡the¡¡Koran¡¡is¡¡the¡¡only¡¡tie¡¡by¡¡which¡¡the¡¡idea¡¡of
nationality¡¡can¡¡be¡¡maintained£¿
It¡¡was¡¡difficult¡¡to¡¡destroy¡¡such¡¡a¡¡state¡¡of¡¡affairs£»¡¡so¡¡that¡¡we
were¡¡bound¡¡to¡¡see¡¡the¡¡re¡establishment¡¡of¡¡an¡¡autocratic
organisation¡¡with¡¡an¡¡appearance¡¡of¡¡constitutionalismthat¡¡is¡¡to
say£»¡¡practically¡¡the¡¡old¡¡system¡¡once¡¡again¡£¡¡¡¡Such¡¡attempts¡¡afford
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4¡£¡¡¡¡Social¡¡elements¡¡which¡¡survive¡¡the¡¡changes¡¡of¡¡Government¡¡after
Revolution¡£
What¡¡we¡¡shall¡¡say¡¡later¡¡on¡¡as¡¡to¡¡the¡¡stable¡¡foundation¡¡of¡¡the
national¡¡soul¡¡will¡¡enable¡¡us¡¡to¡¡appreciate¡¡the¡¡force¡¡of¡¡systems
of¡¡government¡¡that¡¡have¡¡been¡¡long¡¡established£»¡¡such¡¡as¡¡ancient
monarchies¡£¡¡¡¡A¡¡monarch¡¡may¡¡easily¡¡be¡¡overthrown¡¡by¡¡conspirators£»
but¡¡these¡¡latter¡¡are¡¡powerless¡¡against¡¡the¡¡principles¡¡which¡¡the
monarch¡¡represents¡£¡¡¡¡Napoleon¡¡at¡¡his¡¡fall¡¡was¡¡replaced¡¡not¡¡by¡¡his
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ancient¡¡principle£»¡¡while¡¡the¡¡son¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Emperor¡¡personified¡¡ideas
that¡¡were¡¡as¡¡yet¡¡imperfectly¡¡established¡¡in¡¡men's¡¡minds¡£
For¡¡the¡¡same¡¡reason¡¡a¡¡minister£»¡¡however¡¡able£»¡¡however¡¡great¡¡the
services¡¡he¡¡has¡¡rendered¡¡to¡¡his¡¡country£»¡¡can¡¡very¡¡rarely
overthrow¡¡his¡¡Sovereign¡£¡¡¡¡Bismarck¡¡himself¡¡could¡¡not¡¡have¡¡done
so¡£¡¡¡¡This¡¡great¡¡minister¡¡had¡¡single¡handed¡¡created¡¡the¡¡unity¡¡of
Germany£»¡¡yet¡¡his¡¡master¡¡had¡¡only¡¡to¡¡touch¡¡him¡¡with¡¡his¡¡finger¡¡and
he¡¡vanished¡£¡¡¡¡A¡¡man¡¡is¡¡as¡¡nothing¡¡before¡¡a¡¡principle¡¡supported¡¡by
opinion¡£
But¡¡even¡¡when£»¡¡for¡¡various¡¡reasons£»¡¡the¡¡principle¡¡incarnated¡¡by¡¡a
government¡¡is¡¡annihilated¡¡with¡¡that¡¡government£»¡¡as¡¡happened¡¡at
the¡¡time¡¡of¡¡the¡¡French¡¡Revolution£»¡¡all¡¡the¡¡elements¡¡of¡¡social
organisation¡¡do¡¡not¡¡perish¡¡at¡¡the¡¡same¡¡time¡£
If¡¡we¡¡knew¡¡nothing¡¡of¡¡France¡¡but¡¡the¡¡disturbances¡¡of¡¡the¡¡last
hundred¡¡years¡¡and¡¡more¡¡we¡¡might¡¡suppose¡¡the¡¡country¡¡to¡¡live¡¡in¡¡a
state¡¡of¡¡profound¡¡anarchy¡£¡¡¡¡Now¡¡her¡¡economic£»¡¡industrial£»¡¡and
even¡¡her¡¡political¡¡life¡¡manifests£»¡¡on¡¡the¡¡contrary£»¡¡a¡¡continuity
that¡¡seems¡¡to¡¡be¡¡independent¡¡of¡¡all¡¡revolutions¡¡and¡¡governments¡£
The¡¡fact¡¡is¡¡that¡¡beside¡¡the¡¡great¡¡events¡¡of¡¡which¡¡history¡¡treats
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tell¡£¡¡¡¡They¡¡are¡¡ruled¡¡by¡¡imperious¡¡necessities¡¡which¡¡halt¡¡for¡¡no
man¡£¡¡¡¡Their¡¡total¡¡mass¡¡forms¡¡the¡¡real¡¡framework¡¡of¡¡the¡¡life¡¡of
the¡¡people¡£
While¡¡the¡¡study¡¡of¡¡great¡¡events¡¡shows¡¡us¡¡that¡¡the¡¡nominal
government¡¡of¡¡France¡¡has¡¡been¡¡frequently¡¡changed¡¡in¡¡the¡¡space¡¡of
a¡¡century£»¡¡an¡¡examination¡¡of¡¡the¡¡little¡¡daily¡¡events¡¡will¡¡prove£»
on¡¡the¡¡contrary£»¡¡that¡¡her¡¡real¡¡government¡¡has¡¡been¡¡little
altered¡£
Who¡¡in¡¡truth¡¡are¡¡the¡¡real¡¡rulers¡¡of¡¡a¡¡people£¿¡¡¡¡Kings¡¡and
ministers£»¡¡no¡¡doubt£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡great¡¡crises¡¡of¡¡national¡¡life£»¡¡but
they¡¡play¡¡no¡¡part¡¡whatever¡¡in¡¡the¡¡little¡¡realities¡¡which¡¡make¡¡up
the¡¡life¡¡of¡¡every¡¡day¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡real¡¡directing¡¡forces¡¡of¡¡a¡¡country
are¡¡the¡¡administrations£»¡¡composed¡¡of¡¡impersonal¡¡elements¡¡which
are¡¡never¡¡affected¡¡by¡¡the¡¡changes¡¡of¡¡government¡£¡¡¡¡Conservative¡¡of
traditions£»¡¡they¡¡are¡¡anonymous¡¡and¡¡lasting£»¡¡and¡¡constitute¡¡an
occult¡¡power¡¡before¡¡which¡¡all¡¡others¡¡must¡¡eventually¡¡bow¡£¡¡¡¡Their
action¡¡has¡¡even¡¡increased¡¡to¡¡such¡¡a¡¡degree¡¡that£»¡¡as¡¡we¡¡shall
presently¡¡show£»¡¡there¡¡is¡¡a¡¡danger¡¡that¡¡they¡¡may¡¡form¡¡an¡¡anonymous
State¡¡more¡¡powerful¡¡than¡¡the¡¡official¡¡State¡£¡¡¡¡France¡¡has¡¡thu