democracy in america-1-第120节
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＇Footnote r： The population of a country assuredly constitutes the first element of its wealth。 In the ten years （1820…1830） during which Virginia lost two of its representatives in Congress； its population increased in the proportion of 13。7 per cent。； that of Carolina in the proportion of fifteen per cent。； and that of Georgia； 15。5 per cent。 （See the 〃American Almanac；〃 1832； p。 162） But the population of Russia； which increases more rapidly than that of any other European country； only augments in ten years at the rate of 9。5 per cent。； in France； at the rate of seven per cent。； and in Europe in general； at the rate of 4。7 per cent。 （See 〃Malte Brun；〃 vol。 vi。 p。 95）＇
＇Footnote s： It must be admitted； however； that the depreciation which has taken place in the value of tobacco； during the last fifty years； has notably diminished the opulence of the Southern planters： but this circumstance is as independent of the will of their Northern brethren as it is of their own。＇
Thus the prosperity of the United States is the source of the most serious dangers that threaten them； since it tends to create in some of the confederate States that over…excitement which accompanies a rapid increase of fortune； and to awaken in others those feelings of envy； mistrust； and regret which usually attend upon the loss of it。 The Americans contemplate this extraordinary and hasty progress with exultation； but they would be wiser to consider it with sorrow and alarm。 The Americans of the United States must inevitably become one of the greatest nations in the world； their offset will cover almost the whole of North America； the continent which they inhabit is their dominion； and it cannot escape them。 What urges them to take possession of it so soon？ Riches； power； and renown cannot fail to be theirs at some future time； but they rush upon their fortune as if but a moment remained for them to make it their own。
I think that I have demonstrated that the existence of the present confederation depends entirely on the continued assent of all the confederates； and； starting from this principle； I have inquired into the causes which may induce the several States to separate from the others。 The Union may； however； perish in two different ways： one of the confederate States may choose to retire from the compact； and so forcibly to sever the federal tie； and it is to this supposition that most of the remarks that I have made apply： or the authority of the Federal Government may be progressively entrenched on by the simultaneous tendency of the united republics to resume their independence。 The central power； successively stripped of all its prerogatives； and reduced to impotence by tacit consent； would become incompetent to fulfil its purpose； and the second Union would perish； like the first； by a sort of senile inaptitude。 The gradual weakening of the federal tie； which may finally lead to the dissolution of the Union； is a distinct circumstance； that may produce a variety of minor consequences before it operates so violent a change。 The confederation might still subsist； although its Government were reduced to such a degree of inanition as to paralyze the nation； to cause internal anarchy； and to check the general prosperity of the country。
After having investigated the causes which may induce the Anglo…Americans to disunite； it is important to inquire whether； if the Union continues to subsist； their Government will extend or contract its sphere of action； and whether it will become more energetic or more weak。
The Americans are evidently disposed to look upon their future condition with alarm。 They perceive that in most of the nations of the world the exercise of the rights of sovereignty tends to fall under the control of a few individuals； and they are dismayed by the idea that such will also be the case in their own country。 Even the statesmen feel； or affect to feel； these fears； for； in America； centralization is by no means popular； and there is no surer means of courting the majority than by inveighing against the encroachments of the central power。 The Americans do not perceive that the countries in which this alarming tendency to centralization exists are inhabited by a single people； whilst the fact of the Union being composed of different confederate communities is sufficient to baffle all the inferences which might be drawn from analogous circumstances。 I confess that I am inclined to consider the fears of a great number of Americans as purely imaginary； and far from participating in their dread of the consolidation of power in the hands of the Union； I think that the Federal Government is visibly losing strength。
To prove this assertion I shall not have recourse to any remote occurrences； but to circumstances which I have myself witnessed； and which belong to our own time。
An attentive examination of what is going on in the United States will easily convince us that two opposite tendencies exist in that country； like two distinct currents flowing in contrary directions in the same channel。 The Union has now existed for forty…five years； and in the course of that time a vast number of provincial prejudices； which were at first hostile to its power； have died away。 The patriotic feeling which attached each of the Americans to his own native State is become less exclusive； and the different parts of the Union have become more intimately connected the better they have become acquainted with each other。 The post； *t that great instrument of intellectual intercourse； now reaches into the backwoods； and steamboats have established daily means of communication between the different points of the coast。 An inland navigation of unexampled rapidity conveys commodities up and down the rivers of the country。 *u And to these facilities of nature and art may be added those restless cravings； that busy…mindedness； and love of pelf； which are constantly urging the American into active life； and bringing him into contact with his fellow…citizens。 He crosses the country in every direction； he visits all the various populations of the land； and there is not a province in France in which the natives are so well known to each other as the 13；000；000 of men who cover the territory of the United States。
＇Footnote t： In 1832； the district of Michigan； which only contains 31；639 inhabitants； and is still an almost unexplored wilderness； possessed 940 miles of mail…roads。 The territory of Arkansas； which is still more uncultivated； was already intersected by 1；938 miles of mail…roads。 （See the report of the General Post Office； November 30； 1833。） The postage of newspapers alone in the whole Union amounted to 254；796。＇
＇Footnote u： In the course of ten years； from 1821 to 1831； 271 steamboats have been launched upon the rivers which water the valley of the Mississippi alone。 In 1829 259 steamboats existed in the United States。 （See Legislative Documents； No。 140； p。 274。）＇
But whilst the Americans intermingle； they grow in resemblance of each other； the differences resulting from their climate； their origin； and their institutions； diminish； and they all draw nearer and nearer to the common type。 Every year； thousands of men leave the North to settle in different parts of the Union： they bring with them their faith； their opinions； and their manners； and as they are more enlighthned than the men amongst whom they are about to dwell； they soon rise to the head of affairs； and they adapt society to their own advantage。 This continual emigration of the North to the South is peculiarly favorable to the fusion of all the different provincial characters into one national character。 The civilization of the North appears to be the common standard； to which the whole nation will one day be assimilated。
The commercial ties which unite the confederate States are strengthened by the increasing manufactures of the Americans； and the union which began to exist in their opinions； gradually forms a part of their habits： the course of time has swept away the bugbear thoughts which haunted the imaginations of the citizens in 1789。 The federal power is not become oppressive； it has not destroyed the independence of the States； it has not subjected the confederates to monarchial institutions； and the Union has not rendered the lesser States dependent upon the larger ones； but the confederation has continued to increase in population； in wealth； and in power。 I am therefore convinced that the natural obstacles to the continuance of the American Union are not so powerful at the present time as they were in 1789； and that the enemies of the Union are not so numerous。
Nevertheless； a careful examination of the history of the United States for the last forty…five years will readily convince us that the federal power is declining； nor is it difficult to explain the causes of this phenomenon。 *v When the Constitution of 1789 was promulgated； the nation was a prey to anarchy； the Union； which succeeded this confusion； excited much dread and much animosity； but it was warmly supported because it satisfied an imperious want。 Thus； although it was more attacked than it is now； the federal power soon reached the maximum of its authority； as
