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out a way by which they might judge by justice; and choose men by reason;
would; in this one thing; establish a perfect form of government。

〃Ay; but he brought that great affair to a very good pass。〃  This is;
indeed; to say something; but not to say enough: for this sentence is
justly received; 〃That we are not to judge of counsels by events。〃
The Carthaginians punished the ill counsels of their captains; though
they were rectified by a successful issue; and the Roman people often
denied a triumph for great and very advantageous victories because the
conduct of their general was not answerable to his good fortune。
We ordinarily see; in the actions of the world; that Fortune; to shew
us her power in all things; and who takes a pride in abating our
presumption; seeing she could not make fools wise; has made them
fortunate in emulation of virtue; and most favours those operations the
web of which is most purely her own; whence it is that the simplest
amongst us bring to pass great business; both public and private; and;
as Seiramnes; the Persian; answered those who wondered that his affairs
succeeded so ill; considering that his deliberations were so wise; 〃that
he was sole master of his designs; but that success was wholly in the
power of fortune〃;  these may answer the same; but with a contrary turn。
Most worldly affairs are performed by themselves

                         〃Fata viam inveniunt;〃

          'The destinies find the way。〃AEneid; iii。 395'

the event often justifies a very foolish conduct; our interposition is
little more than as it were a running on by rote; and more commonly a
consideration of custom and example; than of reason。  Being formerly
astonished at the greatness of some affair; I have been made acquainted
with their motives and address by those who had performed it; and have
found nothing in it but very ordinary counsels; and the most common and
usual are indeed; perhaps; the most sure and convenient for practice; if
not for show。  What if the plainest reasons are the best seated?  the
meanest; lowest; and most beaten more adapted to affairs?  To maintain
the authority of the counsels of kings; it needs not that profane persons
should participate of them; or see further into them than the outmost
barrier; he who will husband its reputation must be reverenced upon
credit and taken altogether。  My consultation somewhat rough…hews the
matter; and considers it lightly by the first face it presents: the
stress and main of the business I have been wont to refer to heaven;

                         〃Permitte divis caetera。〃

          '〃Leave the rest to the gods。〃Horace; Od。; i。  9; 9。'

Good and ill fortune are; in my opinion; two sovereign powers; 'tis folly
to think that human prudence can play the part of Fortune; and vain is
his attempt who presumes to comprehend both causes and consequences; and
by the hand to conduct the progress of his design; and most especially
vain in the deliberations of war。  There was never greater circumspection
and military prudence than sometimes is seen amongst us: can it be that
men are afraid to lose themselves by the way; that they reserve
themselves to the end of the game?  I moreover affirm that our wisdom
itself and consultation; for the most part commit themselves to the
conduct of chance; my will and my reason are sometimes moved by one
breath; and sometimes by another; and many of these movements there are
that govern themselves without me: my reason has uncertain and casual
agitations and impulsions:

         〃Vertuntur species animorum; et pectora motus
          Nunc alios; alios; dum nubila ventus agebat;
          Concipiunt。〃

     'The aspects of their minds change; and they conceive now such
     ideas; now such; just so long as the wind agitated the clouds。〃
     Virgil; Georg。; i。  42。'

Let a man but observe who are of greatest authority in cities; and who
best do their own business; we shall find that they are commonly men of
the least parts: women; children; and madmen have had the fortune to
govern great kingdoms equally well with the wisest princes; and
Thucydides says; that the stupid more ordinarily do it than those of
better understandings; we attribute the effects of their good fortune to
their prudence:

                    〃Ut quisque Fortuna utitur;
          Ita praecellet; atque exinde sapere illum omnes dicimus;〃

     '〃He makes his way who knows how to use Fortune; and thereupon we
     all call him wise。〃Plautus; Pseudol。; ii。 3; 13。'

wherefore I say unreservedly; events are a very poor testimony of our
worth and parts。

Now; I was upon this point; that there needs no more but to see a man
promoted to dignity; though we knew him but three days before a man of
little regard; yet an image of grandeur of sufficiency insensibly steals
into our opinion; and we persuade ourselves that; being augmented in
reputation and train; he is also increased in merit; we judge of him; not
according to his worth; but as we do by counters; according to the
prerogative of his place。  If it happen so that he fall again; and be
mixed with the common crowd; every one inquires with amazement into the
cause of his having been raised so high。  〃Is this he;〃 say they; 〃was he
no wiser when he was there?  Do princes satisfy themselves with so
little?  Truly; we were in good hands。〃  This is a thing that I have
often seen in my time。  Nay; even the very disguise of grandeur
represented in our comedies in some sort moves and gulls us。  That which
I myself adore in kings is the crowd of their adorers; all reverence and
submission are due to them; except that of the understanding: my reason
is not obliged to bow and bend; my knees are。  Melanthius being asked
what he thought of the tragedy of Dionysius; 〃I could not see it;〃 said
he; 〃it was so clouded with language〃; so most of those who judge of the
discourses of great men ought to say; 〃I did not understand his words;
they were so clouded with gravity; grandeur; and majesty。〃  Antisthenes
one day tried to persuade the Athenians to give order that their asses
might be employed in tilling the ground as well as the horses were; to
which it was answered that that animal was not destined for such a
service: 〃That's all one;〃 replied he; 〃you have only to order it: for
the most ignorant and incapable men you employ in the commands of your
wars incontinently become worthy enough; because you employ them〃; to
which the custom of so many people; who canonise the king they have
chosen out of their own body; and are not content only to honour; but
must adore them; comes very near。  Those of Mexico; after the ceremonies
of their king's coronation are over; dare no more look him in the face;
but; as if they had deified him by his royalty。  Amongst the oaths they
make him take to maintain their religion; their laws; and liberties; to
be valiant; just; and mild; he moreover swears to make the sun run his
course in his wonted light; to drain the clouds at fit seasons; to make
rivers run their course; and to cause the earth to bear all things
necessary for his people。

I differ from this common fashion; and am more apt to suspect the
capacity when I see it accompanied with that grandeur of fortune and
public applause; we are to consider of what advantage it is to speak when
a man pleases; to choose his subject; to interrupt or change it; with a
magisterial authority; to protect himself from the oppositions of others
by a nod; a smile; or silence; in the presence of an assembly that
trembles with reverence and respect。  A man of a prodigious fortune
coming to give his judgment upon some slight dispute that was foolishly
set on foot at his table; began in these words: 〃It can be no other but
a liar or a fool that will say otherwise than so and so。〃  Pursue this
philosophical point with a dagger in your hand。

There is another observation I have made; from which I draw great
advantage; which is; that in conferences and disputes; every word that
seems to be good; is not immediately to be accepted。  Most men are rich
in borrowed sufficiency: a man may say a good thing; give a good answer;
cite a good sentence; without at all seeing the force of either the one
or the other。  That a man may not understand all he borrows; may perhaps
be verified in myself。  A man must not always presently yield; what truth
or beauty soever may seem to be in the opposite argument; either he must
stoutly meet it; or retire; under colour of not understanding it; to try;
on all parts; how it is lodged in the author。  It may happen that we
entangle ourselves; and help to strengthen the point itself。  I have
sometimes; in the necessity and heat of the combat; made answers that
have gone through and through; beyond my expectation or hope; I only gave
them in number; they were received in weight。  As; when I contend with a
vigorous man; I please myself with anticipating his conclusions; I ease
him of the trouble of explaining himself; I strive to forestall his
imagination whilst it is yet springing and imperfect; the order and
pertinency of his understanding warn and threaten me afar off: I deal
quite contrary with the other

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